The secrets of Assad’s fall and Ahmed Al-Sharaa’s vision

The book (The Secrets of Al-Assad’s Fall and the Vision of Ahmed Al-Shara’) by journalist Munir Al-Rabie, published by Riad Al-Rayes House, reviews the details of the Syrian scene through an analytical reading that combines the scenes of the political and military collapse of Bashar Al-Assad’s regime and the features of the new era under the leadership of Ahmed Al-Shara’.The work explains that the fall was the result of internal accumulations and regional and international transformations, reviewing Sharia’s path in moving from military action to managing the state and its institutions. The book also highlights the new administration's vision of building balanced foreign relations and achieving a state of citizenship and justice for Syrians.The importance of the book stems from combining the scenes of the fall of the previous regime with questions related to the future of Syria under the new leadership. The fall, in its political significance, was not only the result of a lightning military attack, but rather the result of an interaction between long internal exhaustion, a decline in the regime’s ability to withstand, and shifts in the calculations of the regional and international powers to which its survival was linked.From this angle, the book opens a door to understanding the Syrian paradox: How was a regime that regained large areas of the country, with the support of its allies, able to collapse so quickly? The answer lies in the distinction between regaining control and restoring the state; Security and military force may postpone collapse, but it does not compensate for the erosion of institutions and legitimacy, and it alone cannot guarantee stability.The spring turns to Ahmed Al-Sharaa and his vision for the future of Syria, in the context of the transition from leading the battle to overthrow the regime to responsibility for managing a state exhausted by war and divisions. Here the fundamental dilemma of the new authority emerges: military victory does not grant permanent political legitimacy, and overthrowing tyranny is not enough to build a different regime unless it is coupled with equal citizenship, the rule of law, political participation, and guaranteeing the rights of Syrians of all affiliations.The intellectual value of the book lies in that it links the interpretation of the end of the previous regime and anticipating the future of the new authority, opening the way for a reading that goes beyond the event to its political and strategic implications. The importance of this approach remains linked to its ability to distinguish between facts, testimonies, and assessments, and to subject the perceptions of the new leadership to a reality test, rather than simply conveying its promises.